Short term wind speed predictions by using the grey prediction model based forecast method

Chi Yo Huang*, Yu Wei Liu, Wei Chang Tzeng, Po Yen Wang

*此作品的通信作者

研究成果: 書貢獻/報告類型會議論文篇章

30 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

The wind has emerged as one of the fastest growing and most important alternative energy sources during the past decade. However, the most serious problem being faced by human beings in wind applications is the dependence on the volatility of the wind. Thus, wind forecasting techniques in general and short term wind prediction methods in special are very helpful for wind applications. Albeit various methods including the artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic, evolutionary computation approaches have been developed for short term predictions, very few scholars tried to introduce the Grey forecasting method, which was designed for the system analysis being characterized by inadequate information. Since the short term wind prediction problem is characterized by the nature of no regularity, difficult prediction, and huge influences by terrain and obstacle. It can be a suitable problem to be resolved by the Grey forecasting method. Thus, the authors developed a GM (1,1) Grey system based pilot study for future short term wind power forecasting. The accurate predictions of wind speed by using the GM(1,1) Grey forecasting method can serve as the basis for introducing the wind power as an efficient source of alternative energies. An empirical study based on the real data being measured from a wind farm being located in Penghu, Taiwan has demonstrated the efficiency of the GM(1,1) based forecast mechanism. In the future, the GM(1,1) based forecast mechanism can further be applied to the wind forecast problems based on various time spans.

原文英語
主出版物標題2011 IEEE Green Technologies Conference, Green 2011
DOIs
出版狀態已發佈 - 2011
事件2011 IEEE Green Technologies Conference, Green 2011 - Baton Rouge, LA, 美国
持續時間: 2011 4月 142011 4月 15

出版系列

名字2011 IEEE Green Technologies Conference, Green 2011

其他

其他2011 IEEE Green Technologies Conference, Green 2011
國家/地區美国
城市Baton Rouge, LA
期間2011/04/142011/04/15

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • 生態建模
  • 環境工程

指紋

深入研究「Short term wind speed predictions by using the grey prediction model based forecast method」主題。共同形成了獨特的指紋。

引用此