@inproceedings{dbea1119b2d44b64842a2c9760c32d64,
title = "Prediction of the planet yield of the MaxProtoPlanetS high-contrast survey for H-alpha protoplanets with MagAO-X based on first light contrasts",
abstract = "Our past GAPplanetS survey over the last 5 years with the MagAO visible AO system discovered the first examples of accreting protoplanets (by direct observation of H-alpha emission). Examples include LkCa15 b (Sallum et al. 2015) and PDS70 b (Wagner et al. 2018). In this paper we review the science performance of the newly (Dec. 2019) commissioned MagAO-X extreme AO system. In particular, we use the vAPP coronagraphic contrasts measured during MagAO-X first light. We use the Massive Accreting Gap (MAG) protoplanet model of Close 2020 to predict the H-alpha contrasts of 19 of the best transitional disk systems (ages 1-5 Myr) for the direct detection of H-alpha from accretion of hydrogen onto these protoplanets. The MAG protoplanet model applied to the observed first light MagAO-X contrasts predict a maximum yield of 46±7 planets from 19 stars (42 of these planets would be new discoveries). This suggests that there is a large, yet, unexplored reservoir of protoplanets that can be discovered with an extreme AO coronagraphic survey of 19 of the best transitional disk systems. Based on our first light contrasts we predict a healthy yield of protoplanets from our MaxProtoPlanetS survey of 19 transitional disks with MagAO-X.",
keywords = "Adaptive optics, Coronagraphs, Exo-planets, H-alpha, High contrast imaging, Protoplanets, Wavefront control, Wavefront sensing",
author = "Close, \{Laird M.\} and Jared Males and Long, \{Joseph D.\} and \{Van Gorkom\}, Kyle and Hedglen, \{Alexander D.\} and Maggie Kautz and Jennifer Lumbres and Haffert, \{Sebastiaan Y.\} and Katherine Follette and Kevin Wagner and Kelsey Miller and Daniel Apai and Wu, \{Ya Lin\} and Olivier Guyon and Lauren Schatz and Alex Rodack and David Doelman and Frans Snik and Knight, \{Justin M.\} and Katie Morzinski and Victor Gasho and Christoph Keller and Logan Pearce and Alycia Weinberger and Laura P{\'e}rez and Ren{\'e} Doyon",
note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2020 SPIE.; Adaptive Optics Systems VII 2020 ; Conference date: 14-12-2020 Through 22-12-2020",
year = "2020",
doi = "10.1117/12.2561677",
language = "English",
series = "Proceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering",
publisher = "SPIE",
editor = "Laura Schreiber and Dirk Schmidt and Elise Vernet",
booktitle = "Adaptive Optics Systems VII",
}