HTTP: A new framework for bus travel time prediction based on historical trajectories

Wang Chien Lee, Weiping Si, Ling Jyh Chen, Meng Chang Chen

研究成果: 書貢獻/報告類型會議貢獻

31 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

In this paper, we develop a new bus travel time prediction framework, called Historical Trajectory based Travel/Arrival Time Prediction (HTTP) for real-time prediction of travel time over future segments (and thus the arrival time at stops) of an on-going bus journey. The basic idea behind HTTP is to use a collection of historical trajectories "similar" to the current bus trajectory to predict the future segments. Specifically, the HTTP framework (1) samples a set of similar trajectories as the basis for travel time estimation instead of relying on only one historical trajectory best matching the on-going bus journey; and (2) explores different prediction schemes, namely, passed segments, temporal features, and hybrid methods, to identify the sample set of similar trajectories. We conduct a comprehensive empirical experimentation using real bus trajectory data collected from Taipei City, Taiwan to validate our ideas and to evaluate the proposed schemes. Experimental result shows that the proposed prediction schemes significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art and baseline techniques.

原文英語
主出版物標題20th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems, ACM SIGSPATIAL GIS 2012
頁面279-288
頁數10
DOIs
出版狀態已發佈 - 2012 十二月 1
事件20th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems, ACM SIGSPATIAL GIS 2012 - Redondo Beach, CA, 美国
持續時間: 2012 十一月 62012 十一月 9

出版系列

名字GIS: Proceedings of the ACM International Symposium on Advances in Geographic Information Systems

其他

其他20th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems, ACM SIGSPATIAL GIS 2012
國家美国
城市Redondo Beach, CA
期間12/11/612/11/9

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Earth-Surface Processes
  • Computer Science Applications
  • Modelling and Simulation
  • Computer Graphics and Computer-Aided Design
  • Information Systems

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  • 引用此

    Lee, W. C., Si, W., Chen, L. J., & Chen, M. C. (2012). HTTP: A new framework for bus travel time prediction based on historical trajectories. 於 20th ACM SIGSPATIAL International Conference on Advances in Geographic Information Systems, ACM SIGSPATIAL GIS 2012 (頁 279-288). (GIS: Proceedings of the ACM International Symposium on Advances in Geographic Information Systems). https://doi.org/10.1145/2424321.2424357