Ensemble projection of climate change in East Asia

Chung Ming Liu, Ying Chen Chen, Shen Feng Chen, Sahana Paul, Shu Hua Lin, Yen Chih Lee, Ming Chin Wu, Ren Yow Tzeng, Hunag Hsung Hsu, Cheng Ta Chen

研究成果: 書貢獻/報告類型章节

1 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

In the present study, the statistical super-ensemble approach is applied on three regional climate model’s outputs initiated by the same global circulation model for the projection of future climate change. The results indicate that the average temperature in summer over East Asia is projected to be increased up to 3.5°c in summers of 2040-2050 and 6°C in summers of 2090-2100 with respect to 1990-2000, respectively. The Pacific high is simulated to be intensified. As a result of this fact, an enhancement of northward transport of air from the South China Sea toward mainland is observed. The northward component of wind over land area is projected to be increased about 0.1-1ms-1 in 2040s and 1-2.7ms-1 in 2090s than that in 1990s, respectively. Therefore, the temperature is simulated to be increased over land than that over ocean, and increased over northern latitudes than that over southern region. Furthermore, the intensification of the Pacific high favors more precipitation over most of the part of mainland China and which gradually extends in more amounts northward into northern China.

原文英語
主出版物標題Advances in Geosciences
主出版物子標題Volume 9: Solid Earth (SE), Ocean Science (OS) and Atmospheric Science (AS)
發行者World Scientific Publishing Co.
頁面135-147
頁數13
ISBN(電子)9789812708946
ISBN(列印)9812709886, 9789812709882
DOIs
出版狀態已發佈 - 2007 一月 1
對外發佈Yes

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Earth and Planetary Sciences(all)
  • Environmental Science(all)

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