Abstract
In the recent years, a lot of efforts have been made to regulate air pollutant levels in most of the developed and developing countries. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is considered to be one of the major reasons behind deteriorating public health and a lot of efforts are being made to keep a check on PM2.5 levels. Accurately forecasting PM2.5 level is a challenging task and has been highly dependent on model based approaches. In this paper, we explore new possibilities to hourly forecast PM2.5. Choosing the right forecasting model becomes a very important aspect when it comes to improvement in prediction accuracy. We used Neural Network Autoregression (NNAR) method for the prediction task. The paper also provides a comparative analysis of prediction performance for additive version of Holt-Winters method, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and NNAR model. The experimentation and evaluation is done using real world measurement data from Airbox Project, which shows that our proposed method accurately does the prediction with significantly low error.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | 2017 IEEE SmartWorld Ubiquitous Intelligence and Computing, Advanced and Trusted Computed, Scalable Computing and Communications, Cloud and Big Data Computing, Internet of People and Smart City Innovation, SmartWorld/SCALCOM/UIC/ATC/CBDCom/IOP/SCI 2017 - Conference Proceedings |
| Publisher | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. |
| Pages | 1-7 |
| Number of pages | 7 |
| ISBN (Electronic) | 9781538604342 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2018 Jun 26 |
| Event | 2017 IEEE SmartWorld Ubiquitous Intelligence and Computing, Advanced and Trusted Computed, Scalable Computing and Communications, Cloud and Big Data Computing, Internet of People and Smart City Innovation, SmartWorld/SCALCOM/UIC/ATC/CBDCom/IOP/SCI 2017 - San Francisco, United States Duration: 2017 Apr 4 → 2017 Apr 8 |
Other
| Other | 2017 IEEE SmartWorld Ubiquitous Intelligence and Computing, Advanced and Trusted Computed, Scalable Computing and Communications, Cloud and Big Data Computing, Internet of People and Smart City Innovation, SmartWorld/SCALCOM/UIC/ATC/CBDCom/IOP/SCI 2017 |
|---|---|
| Country | United States |
| City | San Francisco |
| Period | 17/4/4 → 17/4/8 |
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Keywords
- ARIMA
- Artificial Neural Network
- Forecast
- Holt Winters
- PM2.5
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Artificial Intelligence
- Computer Networks and Communications
- Computer Science Applications
- Information Systems
- Information Systems and Management
- Energy Engineering and Power Technology
- Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality
- Urban Studies
Cite this
An empirical study of PM2.5 forecasting using neural network. / Mahajan, Sachit; Chen, Ling-Jyh; Tsai, Tzu Chieh.
2017 IEEE SmartWorld Ubiquitous Intelligence and Computing, Advanced and Trusted Computed, Scalable Computing and Communications, Cloud and Big Data Computing, Internet of People and Smart City Innovation, SmartWorld/SCALCOM/UIC/ATC/CBDCom/IOP/SCI 2017 - Conference Proceedings. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2018. p. 1-7.Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution
}
TY - GEN
T1 - An empirical study of PM2.5 forecasting using neural network
AU - Mahajan, Sachit
AU - Chen, Ling-Jyh
AU - Tsai, Tzu Chieh
PY - 2018/6/26
Y1 - 2018/6/26
N2 - In the recent years, a lot of efforts have been made to regulate air pollutant levels in most of the developed and developing countries. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is considered to be one of the major reasons behind deteriorating public health and a lot of efforts are being made to keep a check on PM2.5 levels. Accurately forecasting PM2.5 level is a challenging task and has been highly dependent on model based approaches. In this paper, we explore new possibilities to hourly forecast PM2.5. Choosing the right forecasting model becomes a very important aspect when it comes to improvement in prediction accuracy. We used Neural Network Autoregression (NNAR) method for the prediction task. The paper also provides a comparative analysis of prediction performance for additive version of Holt-Winters method, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and NNAR model. The experimentation and evaluation is done using real world measurement data from Airbox Project, which shows that our proposed method accurately does the prediction with significantly low error.
AB - In the recent years, a lot of efforts have been made to regulate air pollutant levels in most of the developed and developing countries. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is considered to be one of the major reasons behind deteriorating public health and a lot of efforts are being made to keep a check on PM2.5 levels. Accurately forecasting PM2.5 level is a challenging task and has been highly dependent on model based approaches. In this paper, we explore new possibilities to hourly forecast PM2.5. Choosing the right forecasting model becomes a very important aspect when it comes to improvement in prediction accuracy. We used Neural Network Autoregression (NNAR) method for the prediction task. The paper also provides a comparative analysis of prediction performance for additive version of Holt-Winters method, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and NNAR model. The experimentation and evaluation is done using real world measurement data from Airbox Project, which shows that our proposed method accurately does the prediction with significantly low error.
KW - ARIMA
KW - Artificial Neural Network
KW - Forecast
KW - Holt Winters
KW - PM2.5
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85050183785&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85050183785&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1109/UIC-ATC.2017.8397443
DO - 10.1109/UIC-ATC.2017.8397443
M3 - Conference contribution
SP - 1
EP - 7
BT - 2017 IEEE SmartWorld Ubiquitous Intelligence and Computing, Advanced and Trusted Computed, Scalable Computing and Communications, Cloud and Big Data Computing, Internet of People and Smart City Innovation, SmartWorld/SCALCOM/UIC/ATC/CBDCom/IOP/SCI 2017 - Conference Proceedings
PB - Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
ER -