Abstract
In this study, an integrated community-scale energy model (ICEM) was developed for supporting renewable energy management (REM) systems planning with the consideration of changing climatic conditions. Through quantitatively reflecting interactive relationships among various renewable energy resources under climate change, not only the impacts of climate change on each individual renewable energy but also the combined effects on power-generation sector from renewable energy resources could be incorporated within a general modeling framework. Also, discrete probability levels associated with various climate change impacts on the REM system could be generated. Moreover, the ICEM could facilitate capacity-expansion planning for energy-production facilities within a multi-period and multi-option context in order to reduce energy-shortage risks under a number of climate change scenarios. The generated solutions can be used for examining various decision options that are associated with different probability levels when availabilities of renewable energy resources are affected by the changing climatic conditions. A series of probability levels of hydropower-, wind- and solar-energy availabilities can be integrated into the optimization process. The developed method has been applied to a case of long-term REM planning for three communities. The generated solutions can provide desired energy resource/service allocation and capacity-expansion plans with a minimized system cost, a maximized system reliability and a maximized energy security. Tradeoffs between system costs, renewable energy availabilities and energy-shortage risks can also be tackled with the consideration of climate change, which would have both positive and negative impacts on the system cost, energy supply and greenhouse-gas emission.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 764-777 |
| Number of pages | 14 |
| Journal | International Journal of Energy Research |
| Volume | 36 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2012 May 1 |
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Keywords
- Climate change
- Decision making
- Energy systems
- Greenhouse-gas
- Renewable energy
ASJC Scopus subject areas
- Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
- Nuclear Energy and Engineering
- Fuel Technology
- Energy Engineering and Power Technology
Cite this
A modeling approach for investigating climate change impacts on renewable energy utilization. / Cai, Y. P.; Huang, G. H.; Yeh, Hsin-Cheng; Liu, L.; Li, G. C.
In: International Journal of Energy Research, Vol. 36, No. 6, 01.05.2012, p. 764-777.Research output: Contribution to journal › Article
}
TY - JOUR
T1 - A modeling approach for investigating climate change impacts on renewable energy utilization
AU - Cai, Y. P.
AU - Huang, G. H.
AU - Yeh, Hsin-Cheng
AU - Liu, L.
AU - Li, G. C.
PY - 2012/5/1
Y1 - 2012/5/1
N2 - In this study, an integrated community-scale energy model (ICEM) was developed for supporting renewable energy management (REM) systems planning with the consideration of changing climatic conditions. Through quantitatively reflecting interactive relationships among various renewable energy resources under climate change, not only the impacts of climate change on each individual renewable energy but also the combined effects on power-generation sector from renewable energy resources could be incorporated within a general modeling framework. Also, discrete probability levels associated with various climate change impacts on the REM system could be generated. Moreover, the ICEM could facilitate capacity-expansion planning for energy-production facilities within a multi-period and multi-option context in order to reduce energy-shortage risks under a number of climate change scenarios. The generated solutions can be used for examining various decision options that are associated with different probability levels when availabilities of renewable energy resources are affected by the changing climatic conditions. A series of probability levels of hydropower-, wind- and solar-energy availabilities can be integrated into the optimization process. The developed method has been applied to a case of long-term REM planning for three communities. The generated solutions can provide desired energy resource/service allocation and capacity-expansion plans with a minimized system cost, a maximized system reliability and a maximized energy security. Tradeoffs between system costs, renewable energy availabilities and energy-shortage risks can also be tackled with the consideration of climate change, which would have both positive and negative impacts on the system cost, energy supply and greenhouse-gas emission.
AB - In this study, an integrated community-scale energy model (ICEM) was developed for supporting renewable energy management (REM) systems planning with the consideration of changing climatic conditions. Through quantitatively reflecting interactive relationships among various renewable energy resources under climate change, not only the impacts of climate change on each individual renewable energy but also the combined effects on power-generation sector from renewable energy resources could be incorporated within a general modeling framework. Also, discrete probability levels associated with various climate change impacts on the REM system could be generated. Moreover, the ICEM could facilitate capacity-expansion planning for energy-production facilities within a multi-period and multi-option context in order to reduce energy-shortage risks under a number of climate change scenarios. The generated solutions can be used for examining various decision options that are associated with different probability levels when availabilities of renewable energy resources are affected by the changing climatic conditions. A series of probability levels of hydropower-, wind- and solar-energy availabilities can be integrated into the optimization process. The developed method has been applied to a case of long-term REM planning for three communities. The generated solutions can provide desired energy resource/service allocation and capacity-expansion plans with a minimized system cost, a maximized system reliability and a maximized energy security. Tradeoffs between system costs, renewable energy availabilities and energy-shortage risks can also be tackled with the consideration of climate change, which would have both positive and negative impacts on the system cost, energy supply and greenhouse-gas emission.
KW - Climate change
KW - Decision making
KW - Energy systems
KW - Greenhouse-gas
KW - Renewable energy
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84859868429&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=84859868429&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1002/er.1831
DO - 10.1002/er.1831
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84859868429
VL - 36
SP - 764
EP - 777
JO - International Journal of Energy Research
JF - International Journal of Energy Research
SN - 0363-907X
IS - 6
ER -