A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones

Christopher J. Patrick; John S. Kominoski; William H. McDowell; Benjamin Branoff; David Lagomasino; Miguel Leon; Enie Hensel; Marc J.S. Hensel; Bradley A. Strickland; T. Mitchell Aide; Anna Armitage; Marconi Campos-Cerqueira; Victoria M. Congdon; Todd A. Crowl; Donna J. Devlin; Sarah Douglas; Brad E. Erisman; Rusty A. Feagin; Simon J. Geist; Nathan S. Hall; Amber K. Hardison; Michael R. Heithaus; J. Aaron Hogan; J. Derek Hogan; Sean Kinard; Jeremy J. Kiszka; Teng Chiu Lin; Kaijun Lu; Christopher J. Madden; Paul A. Montagna; Christine S. O'Connell; C. Edward Proffitt; Brandi Kiel Reese; Joseph W. Reustle; Kelly L. Robinson; Scott A. Rush; Rolando O. Santos; Astrid Schnetzer; Delbert L. Smee; Rachel S. Smith; Gregory Starr; Beth A. Stauffer; Lily M. Walker; Carolyn A. Weaver; Michael S. Wetz; Elizabeth R. Whitman; Sara S. Wilson; Jianhong Xue; Xiaoming Zou

doi:10.1126/sciadv.abl9155

A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones

Christopher J. Patrick^*, John S. Kominoski, William H. McDowell, Benjamin Branoff, David Lagomasino, Miguel Leon, Enie Hensel, Marc J.S. Hensel, Bradley A. Strickland, T. Mitchell Aide, Anna Armitage, Marconi Campos-Cerqueira, Victoria M. Congdon, Todd A. Crowl, Donna J. Devlin, Sarah Douglas, Brad E. Erisman, Rusty A. Feagin, Simon J. Geist, Nathan S. HallAmber K. Hardison, Michael R. Heithaus, J. Aaron Hogan, J. Derek Hogan, Sean Kinard, Jeremy J. Kiszka, Teng Chiu Lin, Kaijun Lu, Christopher J. Madden, Paul A. Montagna, Christine S. O'Connell, C. Edward Proffitt, Brandi Kiel Reese, Joseph W. Reustle, Kelly L. Robinson, Scott A. Rush, Rolando O. Santos, Astrid Schnetzer, Delbert L. Smee, Rachel S. Smith, Gregory Starr, Beth A. Stauffer, Lily M. Walker, Carolyn A. Weaver, Michael S. Wetz, Elizabeth R. Whitman, Sara S. Wilson, Jianhong Xue, Xiaoming Zou

^*Corresponding author for this work

Department of Life Science

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

32 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Tropical cyclones drive coastal ecosystem dynamics, and their frequency, intensity, and spatial distribution are predicted to shift with climate change. Patterns of resistance and resilience were synthesized for 4138 ecosystem time series from n = 26 storms occurring between 1985 and 2018 in the Northern Hemisphere to predict how coastal ecosystems will respond to future disturbance regimes. Data were grouped by ecosystems (fresh water, salt water, terrestrial, and wetland) and response categories (biogeochemistry, hydrography, mobile biota, sedentary fauna, and vascular plants). We observed a repeated pattern of trade-offs between resistance and resilience across analyses. These patterns are likely the outcomes of evolutionary adaptation, they conform to disturbance theories, and they indicate that consistent rules may govern ecosystem susceptibility to tropical cyclones.

Original language	English
Article number	eabl9155
Journal	Science Advances
Volume	8
Issue number	9
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abl9155
Publication status	Published - 2022 Mar

ASJC Scopus subject areas

General

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1126/sciadv.abl9155

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Patrick, C. J., Kominoski, J. S., McDowell, W. H., Branoff, B., Lagomasino, D., Leon, M., Hensel, E., Hensel, M. J. S., Strickland, B. A., Aide, T. M., Armitage, A., Campos-Cerqueira, M., Congdon, V. M., Crowl, T. A., Devlin, D. J., Douglas, S., Erisman, B. E., Feagin, R. A., Geist, S. J., ... Zou, X. (2022). A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones. Science Advances, 8(9), Article eabl9155. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abl9155

Patrick, CJ, Kominoski, JS, McDowell, WH, Branoff, B, Lagomasino, D, Leon, M, Hensel, E, Hensel, MJS, Strickland, BA, Aide, TM, Armitage, A, Campos-Cerqueira, M, Congdon, VM, Crowl, TA, Devlin, DJ, Douglas, S, Erisman, BE, Feagin, RA, Geist, SJ, Hall, NS, Hardison, AK, Heithaus, MR, Hogan, JA, Hogan, JD, Kinard, S, Kiszka, JJ, Lin, TC, Lu, K, Madden, CJ, Montagna, PA, O'Connell, CS, Proffitt, CE, Reese, BK, Reustle, JW, Robinson, KL, Rush, SA, Santos, RO, Schnetzer, A, Smee, DL, Smith, RS, Starr, G, Stauffer, BA, Walker, LM, Weaver, CA, Wetz, MS, Whitman, ER, Wilson, SS, Xue, J & Zou, X 2022, 'A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones', Science Advances, vol. 8, no. 9, eabl9155. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abl9155

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title = "A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones",

abstract = "Tropical cyclones drive coastal ecosystem dynamics, and their frequency, intensity, and spatial distribution are predicted to shift with climate change. Patterns of resistance and resilience were synthesized for 4138 ecosystem time series from n = 26 storms occurring between 1985 and 2018 in the Northern Hemisphere to predict how coastal ecosystems will respond to future disturbance regimes. Data were grouped by ecosystems (fresh water, salt water, terrestrial, and wetland) and response categories (biogeochemistry, hydrography, mobile biota, sedentary fauna, and vascular plants). We observed a repeated pattern of trade-offs between resistance and resilience across analyses. These patterns are likely the outcomes of evolutionary adaptation, they conform to disturbance theories, and they indicate that consistent rules may govern ecosystem susceptibility to tropical cyclones.",

author = "Patrick, {Christopher J.} and Kominoski, {John S.} and McDowell, {William H.} and Benjamin Branoff and David Lagomasino and Miguel Leon and Enie Hensel and Hensel, {Marc J.S.} and Strickland, {Bradley A.} and Aide, {T. Mitchell} and Anna Armitage and Marconi Campos-Cerqueira and Congdon, {Victoria M.} and Crowl, {Todd A.} and Devlin, {Donna J.} and Sarah Douglas and Erisman, {Brad E.} and Feagin, {Rusty A.} and Geist, {Simon J.} and Hall, {Nathan S.} and Hardison, {Amber K.} and Heithaus, {Michael R.} and Hogan, {J. Aaron} and Hogan, {J. Derek} and Sean Kinard and Kiszka, {Jeremy J.} and Lin, {Teng Chiu} and Kaijun Lu and Madden, {Christopher J.} and Montagna, {Paul A.} and O'Connell, {Christine S.} and Proffitt, {C. Edward} and Reese, {Brandi Kiel} and Reustle, {Joseph W.} and Robinson, {Kelly L.} and Rush, {Scott A.} and Santos, {Rolando O.} and Astrid Schnetzer and Smee, {Delbert L.} and Smith, {Rachel S.} and Gregory Starr and Stauffer, {Beth A.} and Walker, {Lily M.} and Weaver, {Carolyn A.} and Wetz, {Michael S.} and Whitman, {Elizabeth R.} and Wilson, {Sara S.} and Jianhong Xue and Xiaoming Zou",

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AU - Patrick, Christopher J.

AU - Kominoski, John S.

AU - McDowell, William H.

AU - Branoff, Benjamin

AU - Lagomasino, David

AU - Leon, Miguel

AU - Hensel, Enie

AU - Hensel, Marc J.S.

AU - Strickland, Bradley A.

AU - Aide, T. Mitchell

AU - Armitage, Anna

AU - Campos-Cerqueira, Marconi

AU - Congdon, Victoria M.

AU - Crowl, Todd A.

AU - Devlin, Donna J.

AU - Douglas, Sarah

AU - Erisman, Brad E.

AU - Feagin, Rusty A.

AU - Geist, Simon J.

AU - Hall, Nathan S.

AU - Hardison, Amber K.

AU - Heithaus, Michael R.

AU - Hogan, J. Aaron

AU - Hogan, J. Derek

AU - Kinard, Sean

AU - Kiszka, Jeremy J.

AU - Lin, Teng Chiu

AU - Lu, Kaijun

AU - Madden, Christopher J.

AU - Montagna, Paul A.

AU - O'Connell, Christine S.

AU - Proffitt, C. Edward

AU - Reese, Brandi Kiel

AU - Reustle, Joseph W.

AU - Robinson, Kelly L.

AU - Rush, Scott A.

AU - Santos, Rolando O.

AU - Schnetzer, Astrid

AU - Smee, Delbert L.

AU - Smith, Rachel S.

AU - Starr, Gregory

AU - Stauffer, Beth A.

AU - Walker, Lily M.

AU - Weaver, Carolyn A.

AU - Wetz, Michael S.

AU - Whitman, Elizabeth R.

AU - Wilson, Sara S.

AU - Xue, Jianhong

AU - Zou, Xiaoming

PY - 2022/3

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AB - Tropical cyclones drive coastal ecosystem dynamics, and their frequency, intensity, and spatial distribution are predicted to shift with climate change. Patterns of resistance and resilience were synthesized for 4138 ecosystem time series from n = 26 storms occurring between 1985 and 2018 in the Northern Hemisphere to predict how coastal ecosystems will respond to future disturbance regimes. Data were grouped by ecosystems (fresh water, salt water, terrestrial, and wetland) and response categories (biogeochemistry, hydrography, mobile biota, sedentary fauna, and vascular plants). We observed a repeated pattern of trade-offs between resistance and resilience across analyses. These patterns are likely the outcomes of evolutionary adaptation, they conform to disturbance theories, and they indicate that consistent rules may govern ecosystem susceptibility to tropical cyclones.

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VL - 8

JO - Science Advances

JF - Science Advances

IS - 9

M1 - eabl9155

ER -

A general pattern of trade-offs between ecosystem resistance and resilience to tropical cyclones

Abstract

ASJC Scopus subject areas

UN SDGs

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